The worse a situation becomes the less it takes to turn it around, the bigger the upside.
GEORGE SOROSThe trouble with institutional investors is that their performance is usually measured relative to their peer group and not by an absolute yardstick. This makes them trend followers by definition.
More George Soros Quotes
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Investors operate with limited funds and intelligence, they do not need to know everything. As long as they understand something better than others, they have an edge.
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Market prices are always wrong.
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My approach works not by making valid predictions but by allowing me to correct false ones.
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Increase your bets when you are confident and scale down your positions when you don’t have conviction.
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I rely a great deal on animal instincts.
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The prevailing wisdom is that markets are always right. I take the opposite position. I assume that markets are always wrong.
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Stock market bubbles don’t grow out of thin air. They have a solid basis in reality, but reality as distorted by a misconception.
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There is no point in being confident and having a small position.
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Market prices are always wrong in the sense that they present a biased view of the future.
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To others, being wrong is a source of shame; to me, recognizing my mistakes is a source of pride.
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Fundamental analysis seeks to establish how underlying values are reflected in stock prices, whereas the theory of reflexivity shows how stock prices can influence underlying values.
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Unfortunately, the more complex the system, the greater the room for error.
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The reality is that financial markets are self-destabilizing; occasionally they tend toward disequilibrium, not equilibrium.
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To my mind, there is a solution which has to do with democracy, because democratic governments are subject to the will of the people. So, if the people will it, you can actually create international institutions through the democratic states.
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Start by assuming the market is always wrong, so if you copy everybody else on Wall Street, you’re doomed to do poorly.
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If we care about universal principles such as freedom, democracy and the rule of law, we cannot leave them to the care of market forces; we must establish some other institutions to safeguard them.
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If I had to sum up my practical skills, I would use one word: survival. And operating a hedge fund utilized my training in survival to the fullest.
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If investing is entertaining, if you’re having fun, you’re probably not making any money. Good investing is boring.
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Every bubble consists of a trend that can be observed in the real world and a misconception relating to that trend. The two elements interact with each other in a reflexive manner.
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Discount the obvious, bet on the unexpected.
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America needs to follow the policies it has introduced in Germany. We have to go through a certain de-Nazification process.
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It’s not whether you’re right or wrong that’s important, but how much money you make when you’re right and how much you lose when you’re wrong.
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When interest rates are low we have conditions for asset bubbles to develop, and they are developing at the moment. The ultimate asset bubble is gold.
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The main difference between me and other people who have amassed this kind of money is that I am primarily interested in ideas, and I don’t have much personal use for money.
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Political debate is more interested in manipulating the truth, than finding the truth.
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What works for Germany can’t work for the rest of Europe: No country can run a chronic surplus without others running deficits.
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