It’s not whether you’re right or wrong that’s important, but how much money you make when you’re right and how much you lose when you’re wrong.
GEORGE SOROSThere is no point in being confident and having a small position.
More George Soros Quotes
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American supremacy is the greatest threat to the world today.
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I fancied myself as some kind of god or an economic reformer like Keynes.
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The main difference between me and other people who have amassed this kind of money is that I am primarily interested in ideas, and I don’t have much personal use for money.
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The scope for improvement is infinite, precisely because perfection is unattainable.
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I don’t panic. The same thing applies to me as to everybody else, so I’m given to euphoria and despair. And I would say that I basically have survived by recognizing my mistakes.
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To my mind, there is a solution which has to do with democracy, because democratic governments are subject to the will of the people. So, if the people will it, you can actually create international institutions through the democratic states.
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Hedge funds are a very efficient way of managing money. But there are clearly some risks. Hedge funds use credit and credit is a source of instability. Transactions involving credit should be regulated.
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The worse a situation becomes the less it takes to turn it around, the bigger the upside.
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My approach works not by making valid predictions but by allowing me to correct false ones.
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When a long-term trend loses it’s momentum, short-term volatility tends to rise. It is easy to see why that should be so: the trend-following crowd is disoriented.
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In politics, manipulating reality can take presidence over finding reality.
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There is no point in being confident and having a small position.
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Short term volatility is greatest at turning points and diminishes as a trend becomes established.
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I’m only rich because I know when I’m wrong…I basically have survived by recognizing my mistakes.
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There is very little difference between speculation and investment. The only difference is basically that investments are successful speculations because if you successfully anticipate the future you make a speculative profit.
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America needs to follow the policies it has introduced in Germany. We have to go through a certain de-Nazification process.
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Fundamental analysis seeks to establish how underlying values are reflected in stock prices, whereas the theory of reflexivity shows how stock prices can influence underlying values.
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When money is free, the rational lender will keep on lending until there is no one else to lend to.
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The financial markets generally are unpredictable. So that one has to have different scenarios… The idea that you can actually predict what’s going to happen contradicts my way of looking at the market.
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Unfortunately, the more complex the system, the greater the room for error.
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Every bubble consists of a trend that can be observed in the real world and a misconception relating to that trend. The two elements interact with each other in a reflexive manner.
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Revolutions usually start with enthusiasm and end in tears.
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If the bubbles contain a misconception, as they always do, then it can’t be maintained forever.
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Increase your bets when you are confident and scale down your positions when you don’t have conviction.
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The hardest thing to judge is what level of risk is safe.
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If we carry this line of argument to its logical conclusion, the meaning of life consists of the flaws in one’s conceptions and what one does about them. Life can be seen as a fertile fallacy.
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