Markets are constantly in a state of uncertainty and flux and money is made by discounting the obvious and betting on the unexpected.
GEORGE SOROSWhat works for Germany can’t work for the rest of Europe: No country can run a chronic surplus without others running deficits.
More George Soros Quotes
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I am not well qualified to criticize the theory of rational expectations and the efficient market hypothesis because as a market participant I considered them so unrealistic that I never bothered to study them.
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The prevailing wisdom is that markets are always right. I take the opposite position. I assume that markets are always wrong.
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The collapse of the global marketplace would be a traumatic event with unimaginable consequences. Yet I find it easier to imagine than the continuation of the present regime.
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Every bubble consists of a trend that can be observed in the real world and a misconception relating to that trend. The two elements interact with each other in a reflexive manner.
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If we carry this line of argument to its logical conclusion, the meaning of life consists of the flaws in one’s conceptions and what one does about them. Life can be seen as a fertile fallacy.
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Hedge funds are a very efficient way of managing money. But there are clearly some risks. Hedge funds use credit and credit is a source of instability. Transactions involving credit should be regulated.
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My main concern is with the world order.
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I rely a great deal on animal instincts.
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Revolutions usually start with enthusiasm and end in tears.
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It’s not whether you’re right or wrong that’s important, but how much money you make when you’re right and how much you lose when you’re wrong.
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Misconceptions play a prominent role in my view of the world.
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My approach works not by making valid predictions but by allowing me to correct false ones.
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Fundamental analysis seeks to establish how underlying values are reflected in stock prices, whereas the theory of reflexivity shows how stock prices can influence underlying values.
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An open society is a society which allows its members the greatest possible degree of freedom in pursuing their interests compatible with the interests of others.
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The financial markets play an active role in determining what’s going to happen, how the economy is going to function.
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The trouble with institutional investors is that their performance is usually measured relative to their peer group and not by an absolute yardstick. This makes them trend followers by definition.
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Studying economics is not a good preparation for dealing with it.
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Market prices are always wrong in the sense that they present a biased view of the future.
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The financial markets generally are unpredictable. So that one has to have different scenarios… The idea that you can actually predict what’s going to happen contradicts my way of looking at the market.
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The worse a situation becomes the less it takes to turn it around, the bigger the upside.
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Stock market bubbles don’t grow out of thin air. They have a solid basis in reality, but reality as distorted by a misconception.
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My conceptual framework, which basically emphasizes the importance of misconceptions, makes me extremely critical of my own decisions. I know that I am bound to be wrong, and therefore am more likely to correct my own mistakes.
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The reality is that financial markets are self-destabilizing; occasionally they tend toward disequilibrium, not equilibrium.
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When a long-term trend loses it’s momentum, short-term volatility tends to rise. It is easy to see why that should be so: the trend-following crowd is disoriented.
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There is no point in being confident and having a small position.
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The strength of this country lies in the Declaration of Independence and the Bill of Rights and the freedom of speech and thought.
GEORGE SOROS