Revolutions usually start with enthusiasm and end in tears.
GEORGE SOROSDiscount the obvious, bet on the unexpected.
More George Soros Quotes
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Political debate is more interested in manipulating the truth, than finding the truth.
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If the bubbles contain a misconception, as they always do, then it can’t be maintained forever.
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Making an investment decision is like formulating a scientific hypothesis and submitting it to a practical test.
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Short term volatility is greatest at turning points and diminishes as a trend becomes established.
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I’m only rich because I know when I’m wrong…I basically have survived by recognizing my mistakes.
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If we carry this line of argument to its logical conclusion, the meaning of life consists of the flaws in one’s conceptions and what one does about them. Life can be seen as a fertile fallacy.
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There is very little difference between speculation and investment. The only difference is basically that investments are successful speculations because if you successfully anticipate the future you make a speculative profit.
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Every bubble consists of a trend that can be observed in the real world and a misconception relating to that trend. The two elements interact with each other in a reflexive manner.
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Once we realize that imperfect understanding is the human condition there is no shame in being wrong, only in failing to correct our mistakes.
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Fundamental analysis seeks to establish how underlying values are reflected in stock prices, whereas the theory of reflexivity shows how stock prices can influence underlying values.
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Stock market bubbles don’t grow out of thin air. They have a solid basis in reality, but reality as distorted by a misconception.
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No individual anonymous participant can influence the prices and therefore you really can speculate in the market without paying attention to morality. That’s one of the positive features of markets. That’s why they function.
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Markets can influence the events that they anticipate.
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The strength of this country lies in the Declaration of Independence and the Bill of Rights and the freedom of speech and thought.
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When interest rates are low we have conditions for asset bubbles to develop, and they are developing at the moment. The ultimate asset bubble is gold.
GEORGE SOROS