Market prices are always wrong in the sense that they present a biased view of the future.
GEORGE SOROSThe prevailing wisdom is that markets are always right. I take the opposite position. I assume that markets are always wrong.
More George Soros Quotes
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My conceptual framework, which basically emphasizes the importance of misconceptions, makes me extremely critical of my own decisions. I know that I am bound to be wrong, and therefore am more likely to correct my own mistakes.
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If the bubbles contain a misconception, as they always do, then it can’t be maintained forever.
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I fancied myself as some kind of god or an economic reformer like Keynes.
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The reality is that financial markets are self-destabilizing; occasionally they tend toward disequilibrium, not equilibrium.
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I rely a great deal on animal instincts.
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An open society is a society which allows its members the greatest possible degree of freedom in pursuing their interests compatible with the interests of others.
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Start by assuming the market is always wrong, so if you copy everybody else on Wall Street, you’re doomed to do poorly.
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The sovereignty of states must be subordinated to international law and international institutions.
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It is sort of a disease when you consider yourself some kind of god, the creator of everything, but I feel comfortable about it now since I began to live it out.
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As I discovered, there is a great deal of similarity between a boom-bust process in the financial markets and the rise and fall of the Soviet system.
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Every bubble has two components: something – some real trend, and a misconception about that trend.
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When a long-term trend loses it’s momentum, short-term volatility tends to rise. It is easy to see why that should be so: the trend-following crowd is disoriented.
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Hedge funds are a very efficient way of managing money. But there are clearly some risks. Hedge funds use credit and credit is a source of instability. Transactions involving credit should be regulated.
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What works for Germany can’t work for the rest of Europe: No country can run a chronic surplus without others running deficits.
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I am not well qualified to criticize the theory of rational expectations and the efficient market hypothesis because as a market participant I considered them so unrealistic that I never bothered to study them.
GEORGE SOROS