Every bubble consists of a trend that can be observed in the real world and a misconception relating to that trend. The two elements interact with each other in a reflexive manner.
GEORGE SOROSThere is no point in being confident and having a small position.
More George Soros Quotes
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The worse a situation becomes the less it takes to turn it around, the bigger the upside.
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The prevailing wisdom is that markets are always right. I take the opposite position. I assume that markets are always wrong.
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I am not well qualified to criticize the theory of rational expectations and the efficient market hypothesis because as a market participant I considered them so unrealistic that I never bothered to study them.
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It is sort of a disease when you consider yourself some kind of god, the creator of everything, but I feel comfortable about it now since I began to live it out.
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Markets can influence the events that they anticipate.
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My main concern is with the world order.
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Misconceptions play a prominent role in my view of the world.
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There is very little difference between speculation and investment. The only difference is basically that investments are successful speculations because if you successfully anticipate the future you make a speculative profit.
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Increase your bets when you are confident and scale down your positions when you don’t have conviction.
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Market prices are always wrong in the sense that they present a biased view of the future.
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It’s not whether you’re right or wrong that’s important, but how much money you make when you’re right and how much you lose when you’re wrong.
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Stock market bubbles don’t grow out of thin air. They have a solid basis in reality, but reality as distorted by a misconception.
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To others, being wrong is a source of shame; to me, recognizing my mistakes is a source of pride.
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To my mind, there is a solution which has to do with democracy, because democratic governments are subject to the will of the people. So, if the people will it, you can actually create international institutions through the democratic states.
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Political debate is more interested in manipulating the truth, than finding the truth.
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