I am not well qualified to criticize the theory of rational expectations and the efficient market hypothesis because as a market participant I considered them so unrealistic that I never bothered to study them.
GEORGE SOROSMisconceptions play a prominent role in my view of the world.
More George Soros Quotes
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My main concern is with the world order.
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The main difference between me and other people who have amassed this kind of money is that I am primarily interested in ideas, and I don’t have much personal use for money.
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Revolutions usually start with enthusiasm and end in tears.
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The collapse of the global marketplace would be a traumatic event with unimaginable consequences. Yet I find it easier to imagine than the continuation of the present regime.
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It is credit that matters, not money (in other words, monetarism is a false ideology).
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Once we realize that imperfect understanding is the human condition there is no shame in being wrong, only in failing to correct our mistakes.
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I’m only rich because I know when I’m wrong.
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Market prices are always wrong.
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The scope for improvement is infinite, precisely because perfection is unattainable.
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Short term volatility is greatest at turning points and diminishes as a trend becomes established.
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American supremacy is the greatest threat to the world today.
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When interest rates are low we have conditions for asset bubbles to develop, and they are developing at the moment. The ultimate asset bubble is gold.
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There is very little difference between speculation and investment. The only difference is basically that investments are successful speculations because if you successfully anticipate the future you make a speculative profit.
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Discount the obvious, bet on the unexpected.
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Making an investment decision is like formulating a scientific hypothesis and submitting it to a practical test.
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I rely a great deal on animal instincts.
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Market prices are always wrong in the sense that they present a biased view of the future.
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Find the trend whose premise is false, and bet against it.
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Start by assuming the market is always wrong, so if you copy everybody else on Wall Street, you’re doomed to do poorly.
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Once a trend is established it tends to persist and to run it’s full course.
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I fancied myself as some kind of god or an economic reformer like Keynes.
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The financial markets generally are unpredictable. So that one has to have different scenarios… The idea that you can actually predict what’s going to happen contradicts my way of looking at the market.
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Every bubble consists of a trend that can be observed in the real world and a misconception relating to that trend. The two elements interact with each other in a reflexive manner.
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Unfortunately, the more complex the system, the greater the room for error.
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The global crisis is caused by pathologies inherent in the global financial system itself.
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The reality is that financial markets are self-destabilizing; occasionally they tend toward disequilibrium, not equilibrium.
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