We may end up with a world based more on equity than debt, or more on market debt instruments than bank intermediation; but how and why we get there is a mystery.
ALAN M. TAYLOR
To the security of employment at working age, to the challenge of accumulating for retirement.
More Alan M. Taylor Quotes
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We may end up with a world based more on equity than debt, or more on market debt instruments than bank intermediation; but how and why we get there is a mystery.
ALAN M. TAYLOR -
A possibility is that we see more and more leverage, and credit-to-GDP ratios rise once more to even higher levels.
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It’s just very hard to teach a class of students about what has happened in the Global Financial Crisis.
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If we have moved back to a regime of regular financial crises – like the one we had from the 1870s to the 1930s.
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We have never in human history seen a run-up in credit of the kind we have just witnessed in advanced economies since 1970.
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Non-trivial understanding of the financial sector, credit, and the banking system.
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How we ended up there and how we got to where we are today, without having some basic.
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Absent significant regulatory or tax changes, and a sharp transition could be disruptive.
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Furthermore, this pattern is seen across all the advanced economies, and isn’t just a feature of some special subset (e.g. the Anglo-Saxons).
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1000 percent or more of GDP, so that every economy starts to have financial systems that resemble recent cases like Switzerland, Ireland, Iceland, or Cyprus. That might be a very fragile world to live in.
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Eventually the banking systems of all advanced economies reach magnitudes of 500 percent,
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And we have never observed modern finance-capitalist systems operating over a sustained period at this kind of credit-to-GDP leverage ratio.
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More financial instability will introduce more uncertainty all down the line.
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Macroeconomic stability will be more elusive and that will affect all of our lives: from the risks many will face in childhood.
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The basic aggregate measure of gearing or leverage is telling us that today’s advanced economies’ operating systems are more heavily dependent on private sector credit than anything we have ever seen before.
ALAN M. TAYLOR