There are two main drivers of asset class returns – inflation and growth.
RAY DALIOThe media has the power to create an entrenched perception of reality that’s incorrect.
More Ray Dalio Quotes
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Success is achieved by people who deeply understand reality and know how to use it to get what they want. The converse is also true: idealists who are not well-grounded in reality create problems, not progress.
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The big question is: When will the term structure of interest rates change? That’s the question to be worried about.
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Some people seek to understand, and some people seek to portray what they want to portray.
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If inflation-adjusted interest rates decline in a given country, its currency is likely to decline.
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The best advice I can give you is to ask yourself what do you want, then ask ‘what is true’ – and then ask yourself ‘what should be done about it.’ I believe that if you do this you will move much faster towards what you want to get out of life than if you don’t!
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School typically doesn’t prepare young people for real life – unless their lives are spent following instructions and pleasing others. In my opinion, that’s why so many students who succeed in school fail in life.
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There is a strong tendency to get used to and accept very bad things that would be shocking if seen with fresh eyes.
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People who worry about looking good typically hide what they don’t know and hide their weaknesses, so they never learn how to properly deal with them and these weaknesses remain impediments in the future.
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When growth is slower than expected, stocks go down. When inflation is higher than expected, bonds go down. When inflation’s lower than expected, bonds go up.
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If you don’t own Gold, you know neither history nor economics.
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You should have a strategic asset allocation mix that assumes that you don’t know what the future is going to hold.
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Life is like a giant smorgasbord of more delicious alternatives than you can ever hope to taste. So you have to reject having some things you want in order to get other things you want more.
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A beautiful deleveraging balances the three options. In other words, there is a certain amount of austerity, there is a certain amount of debt restructuring, and there is a certain amount of printing of money. When done in the right mix, it isn’t dramatic.
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What matters most is that the people you work with share your values.
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Remember that experience creates internalization. Doing things repeatedly leads to internalization, which produces a quality of understanding that is generally vastly superior to intellectualized learning.
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