The main reason I write the daily observations is because I want to know where I’m wrong. So lots of times if somebody points something out it helps me, and I want to have a diversified bet of uncorrelated bets.
RAY DALIOThere is an excellent correlation between giving society what it wants and making money, and almost no correlation between the desire to make money and how much money one makes.
More Ray Dalio Quotes
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People who confuse what they wish were true with what is really true create distorted pictures of reality that make it impossible for them to make the best choices.
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Some people who are creative are not reliable and vice versa; some see big pictures while others see details, etc. All of them are important to have on well-orchestrated teams.
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There is slow growth, but it is positive slow growth. At the same time, ratios of debt-to-incomes go down. That’s a beautiful deleveraging.
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Watch out for people who think it’s embarrassing not to know.
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When growth is slower than expected, stocks go down. When inflation is higher than expected, bonds go down. When inflation’s lower than expected, bonds go up.
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To make money in the markets, you have to think independently and be humble.
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Once you accept that playing the game will be uncomfortable, and you do it for a while, it will become much easier (like it does when getting fit). When you excel at it, you will find your ability to get what you want thrilling.
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Forget about what the technology is. Just understand the motivation behind it.
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I believe that dreamers who simply imagine things that would be nice but are not possible don’t sufficiently appreciate the laws of the universe to understand the true implications of their desires, much less how to achieve them.
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The more you think you know, the more closed-minded you’ll be.
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Remember that experience creates internalization. Doing things repeatedly leads to internalization, which produces a quality of understanding that is generally vastly superior to intellectualized learning.
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There is giant untapped potential in disagreement, especially if the disagreement is between two or more thoughtful people.
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Be wary of the arrogant intellectual who comments from the stands without having played on the field.
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A beautiful deleveraging balances the three options. In other words, there is a certain amount of austerity, there is a certain amount of debt restructuring, and there is a certain amount of printing of money. When done in the right mix, it isn’t dramatic.
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I don’t think individual media outlets will regulate. There are such things as self-regulatory organizations that will look at the members of the industry and their behavior and establish standards of behavior.
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