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He who lives by the crystal ball will eat shattered glass.

Ray Dalio

I’m going to give away a lot more than half my money. I’d be happy to give that to the government if the government put together programs that were like I’m giving away to charity, in which I believe the money is effectively used to help people.
RAY DALIO

Believe Government Happiness Help Money Myself People
Competitiveness is really what it costs you per man-hour to get you what you want. In other words, there’s an education level that plays into the mix and so if it’s inexpensive to buy an hour of real good education in places like China versus the U.S., that factors in.
RAY DALIO

Competition Cost Education Factor Goodness Place Reality Word
When you’re faced with a choice, you have one of three choices that you can have. You can have those with power decide. You can have one man, one vote. Or you can have believability-weighted decision-making.
RAY DALIO

Choice Decision Face Man Vote Yourself
I’ve learned that each mistake was probably a reflection of something that I was (or others were) doing wrong, so if I could figure out what that was, I could learn how to be more effective.
RAY DALIO

Learning Mistake Myself Reflection Wrong
If you can stare hard at your problems, they almost always shrink or disappear, because you almost always find a better way of dealing with them than if you don’t face them head on. The more difficult the problem, the more important it is that you stare at it and deal with it.
RAY DALIO

Deal Difficult Disappear Face Hard Problem Yourself
Forget about what the technology is. Just understand the motivation behind it.
RAY DALIO

Forget Motivational Technology Understand
An economy is not a complicated thing; it just has a lot of moving parts.
RAY DALIO

Complication Economy Move
Over the long run, the price of gold approximates the total amount of money in circulation divided by the size of the gold stock. If the market price of gold moves a long way from this level, it may indicate a buying or selling opportunity.
RAY DALIO

Gold Market Money Opportunity Price Way
It is a law of nature that you must do difficult things to gain strength and power. As with working out, after a while you make the connection between doing difficult things and the benefits you get from doing them, and you come to look forward to doing these difficult things.
RAY DALIO

Difficult Law Nature Work Yourself
Success is achieved by people who deeply understand reality and know how to use it to get what they want. The converse is also true: idealists who are not well-grounded in reality create problems, not progress.
RAY DALIO

Achievement Creation Ideal Problem Progress Reality Success True Understand
I believe that we all get rewarded and punished according to whether we operate in harmony or in conflict with nature’s laws, and that all societies will succeed or fail in the degrees that they operate consistently with these laws.
RAY DALIO

Believe Consist Karma Law Myself Nature Punishment Reward Success
There are far more good answers “out there” than there are in you.
RAY DALIO

Control Drive Inspirational Yourself
Remember that experience creates internalization. Doing things repeatedly leads to internalization, which produces a quality of understanding that is generally vastly superior to intellectualized learning.
RAY DALIO

Experience Intellectual Leadership Learning Production Quality Remember
The main reason I write the daily observations is because I want to know where I’m wrong. So lots of times if somebody points something out it helps me, and I want to have a diversified bet of uncorrelated bets.
RAY DALIO

Help Myself Observation Reason Writing Wrong
You should have a strategic asset allocation mix that assumes that you don’t know what the future is going to hold.
RAY DALIO

Assumption Future Hold Strategy Yourself
Be wary of the arrogant intellectual who comments from the stands without having played on the field.
RAY DALIO

Arrogant Field Intellectual Play Pride Stand

He who lives by the crystal ball will eat shattered glass.

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He who lives by the crystal ball will eat shattered glass.

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