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He who lives by the crystal ball will eat shattered glass.

Ray Dalio

Ask yourself whether you have earned the right to have an opinion. Opinions are easy to produce, so bad ones abound. Knowing that you don’t know something is nearly as valuable as knowing it. The worst situation is thinking you know something when you don’t.
RAY DALIO

Bad Easy Oneself Opinion Production Right Situation Value Worst
People who confuse what they wish were true with what is really true create distorted pictures of reality that make it impossible for them to make the best choices.
RAY DALIO

Choice Confusion Creation Impossible People True
If inflation-adjusted interest rates decline in a given country, its currency is likely to decline.
RAY DALIO

Country Current Decline Interest Rate
To test if you are worrying too much about looking good, observe how you feel when you find out you’ve made a mistake or don’t know something.
RAY DALIO

Appearance Goodness Mistake Observation Worry Yourself
Some people who are creative are not reliable and vice versa; some see big pictures while others see details, etc. All of them are important to have on well-orchestrated teams.
RAY DALIO

Creation People Photograph Team Trust
Principles are what allow you to live a life consistent with those values. Principles connect your values to your actions.
RAY DALIO

Life Live Principle Value Yourself
I also believe that everyone needs to think independently and make their own decisions on what makes the most sense.
RAY DALIO

Believe Decision Independent Myself Need Thinking
I believe that dreamers who simply imagine things that would be nice but are not possible don’t sufficiently appreciate the laws of the universe to understand the true implications of their desires, much less how to achieve them.
RAY DALIO

Achievement Believe Desire Dreams Imagination Myself Simplicity Understand
Remember that experience creates internalization. Doing things repeatedly leads to internalization, which produces a quality of understanding that is generally vastly superior to intellectualized learning.
RAY DALIO

Experience Intellectual Leadership Learning Production Quality Remember
Since the only way you are going to find solutions to painful problems is by thinking deeply about them – i.e., reflecting – if you can develop a knee-jerk reaction to pain that is to reflect rather than to fight or flee, it will lead to your rapid learning/evolving.
RAY DALIO

Development Leadership Learning Pain Problem Solution Way Yourself
In return, society rewards those who give it what it wants. That is why how much money people have earned is a rough measure of how much they gave society what it wanted.
RAY DALIO

Measurement Money People Return Rough Society
To make money in the markets, you have to think independently and be humble.
RAY DALIO

Business Humble Independent Marketing Money Thinking Yourself
It is a law of nature that you must do difficult things to gain strength and power. As with working out, after a while you make the connection between doing difficult things and the benefits you get from doing them, and you come to look forward to doing these difficult things.
RAY DALIO

Difficult Law Nature Work Yourself
Though how nature works is way beyond man’s ability to comprehend, I have found that observing how nature works offers innumerable lessons that can help us understand the realities that affect us.
RAY DALIO

Affect Beyond Lesson Nature Understand Way Work
I could see that making judgments about people so that they are tried and sentenced in your head, without asking them for their perspective, is both unethical and unproductive. So I learned to love real integrity and to despise the lack of it.
RAY DALIO

Ethics Integrity Judgement Learning Love People Perspective
I believe that we all get rewarded and punished according to whether we operate in harmony or in conflict with nature’s laws, and that all societies will succeed or fail in the degrees that they operate consistently with these laws.
RAY DALIO

Believe Consist Karma Law Myself Nature Punishment Reward Success

He who lives by the crystal ball will eat shattered glass.

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He who lives by the crystal ball will eat shattered glass.

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