Once we realize that imperfect understanding is the human condition there is no shame in being wrong, only in failing to correct our mistakes.
GEORGE SOROSFind the trend whose premise is false, and bet against it.
More George Soros Quotes
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Every bubble consists of a trend that can be observed in the real world and a misconception relating to that trend. The two elements interact with each other in a reflexive manner.
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Markets can influence the events that they anticipate.
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To others, being wrong is a source of shame; to me, recognizing my mistakes is a source of pride.
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There is no point in being confident and having a small position.
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Increase your bets when you are confident and scale down your positions when you don’t have conviction.
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Investors operate with limited funds and intelligence, they do not need to know everything. As long as they understand something better than others, they have an edge.
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Stock market bubbles don’t grow out of thin air. They have a solid basis in reality, but reality as distorted by a misconception.
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If we carry this line of argument to its logical conclusion, the meaning of life consists of the flaws in one’s conceptions and what one does about them. Life can be seen as a fertile fallacy.
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The main enemy of the open society, I believe, is no longer the communist but the capitalist threat.
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My approach works not by making valid predictions but by allowing me to correct false ones.
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If we care about universal principles such as freedom, democracy and the rule of law, we cannot leave them to the care of market forces; we must establish some other institutions to safeguard them.
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Market prices are always wrong.
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It is credit that matters, not money (in other words, monetarism is a false ideology).
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Unfortunately, the more complex the system, the greater the room for error.
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Market prices are always wrong in the sense that they present a biased view of the future.
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