A decline in the national housing price level would need to be substantial to trigger a significant rise in foreclosures, because the vast majority of homeowners have built up substantial equity in their homes despite large mortgage.
ALAN GREENSPANIt is regrettably the way human nature functions, whether we like it or not. What successful economies do is keep it to a minimum.
More Alan Greenspan Quotes
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The process of innovation is, of course, never ending.
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Such caution seems especially warranted with regard to the sharp rise in equity prices during the past two years. These gains have obviously raised questions of sustainability.
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Given our inevitably incomplete knowledge about key structural aspects of our ever-changing economy and the sometimes asymmetric costs or benefits of particular outcomes, a central bank.
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Now, I only play very occasionally, and in fact, more piano than clarinet or sax.
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Regulators have not been able to achieve the level of future clarity required to act pre-emptively.
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It has been my experience that competency in mathematics, both in numerical manipulations and in understanding its conceptual foundations.
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Even though some down payments are borrowed, it would take a large, and historically most unusual, fall in home prices to wipe out a significant part of home equity.
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Regulation of derivatives transactions that are privately negotiated by professionals is unnecessary.
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Productivity is notoriously difficult to predict.
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…our market system depends critically on trust-trust in the word of our colleagues and trust in the word of those with whom we do business.
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Rules cannot take the place of character.
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The recent evidence increasingly suggests that an economic expansion is already well under way, although an array of influences unique to this business cycle seems likely to moderate its speed.
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Without the triggers, that tax cut is irreponsible fiscal policy. Eventually, I think that will be the consensus view.
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Any onset of increased investor caution elevates risk premiums and, as a consequence, lowers asset values and promotes the liquidation of the debt that supported higher asset prices.
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No matter how skillful the trading scheme, over the long haul, abnormal returns are sustained only through abnormal exposure to risk.
ALAN GREENSPAN






