How do we know when irrational exuberance has unduly escalated asset values?
ALAN GREENSPANWhile these tendencies were no doubt in train in the “old,” pre-1990s economy, they accelerated over the past decade as a number of technologies with their roots in the cumulative innovations of the past half-century began to yield dramatic economic returns.
More Alan Greenspan Quotes
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Well, you probably will always believe there should be laws against fraud, and I don’t think there is any need for a law against fraud.
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The process of innovation is, of course, never ending.
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The abandonment of the gold standard made it possible for the welfare statists to use the banking system as a means to an unlimited expansion of credit.
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The increased flexibility of our economy, which has fostered our extraordinary resilience to shocks.
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[Republicans] swapped principle for power. They ended up with neither. They deserved to lose.
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History cannot be reduced to a set of statistics and probabilities.
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But rules cannot substitute for character.
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The more flexible an economy, the greater its ability to self-correct in response to inevitable, often unanticipated, disturbances and thus to contain the size and consequences of cyclical imbalances.
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There is nothing to guarantee the superior judgment, knowledge, and integrity of an inspector or a bureaucrat-and the deadly consequences of entrusting him with arbitrary power are obvious.
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Capitalism is based on self-interest and self-esteem; it holds integrity and trustworthiness as cardinal virtues and makes them pay off in the marketplace, thus demanding that men survive by means of virtue, not vices.
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I love facts and figures. It’s like following a detective story, piecing together what’s going on in the economy.
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The very nature of finance is that it cannot be profitable unless it is significantly leveraged… and as long as there is debt, there can be failure and contagion.
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Significantly opening up immigration to skilled workers solves two problems.
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So there is no reason to suspect that the actual process of boosting rates would be any different.
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An almost hysterical antagonism toward the gold standard is one issue which unites statists of all persuasions.
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We are in the midst of a once-in-a-century credit tsunami. Central banks and governments are being required to take unprecedented measures.
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Now, I only play very occasionally, and in fact, more piano than clarinet or sax.
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We will have more crises and none of them will look like this because no two crises have anything in common except human nature.
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The number one problem in today’s generation and economy is the lack of financial literacy.
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There is no safe store of value. Deficit spending is simply a scheme for the hidden confiscation of wealth.
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Developing protectionism regarding trade and our reluctance to place fiscal policy on a more sustainable path are threatening what may well be our most valued policy asset.
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But how do we know when irrational exuberance has unduly escalated asset values, which then become subject to unexpected and prolonged contractions as they have in Japan over the past decade?
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It is decidedly not true that “nice guys finish last,” as that highly original American baseball philosopher, Leo Durocher, was alleged to have said.
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This decade is strewn with examples of bright people who thought they built a better mousetrap that could consistently extract abnormal returns from the financial markets.
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And the percentage changes in wage rates would be the same for all job grades.
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In an economy that already has lost some momentum, one must remain alert to the possibility that greater caution and weakening asset values in financial markets could signal or precipitate an excessive softening in household and business spending.
ALAN GREENSPAN