They then need to reach a judgment about the probabilities, costs, and benefits of the various possible outcomes under alternative choices for policy.
ALAN GREENSPANWe are in the midst of a once-in-a-century credit tsunami. Central banks and governments are being required to take unprecedented measures.
More Alan Greenspan Quotes
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If we were to do that we would increase the supply of skilled workers that our schools have been unable to create and as a consequence of that we would lower the average wage of skills and reduce the degree of income inequality in this country.
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Whatever you tax you get less of.
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I was a fairly good amateur musician, and I was an average professional. But the one thing I saw was that the big band business was fading.
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History cannot be reduced to a set of statistics and probabilities.
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We can see that in the inverse relationship exhibited by price/earnings ratios and the rate of inflation in the past.
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But material success is possible in this world and far more satisfying when it comes without exploiting others.
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Need to consider not only the most likely future path for the economy but also the distribution of possible outcomes about that path.
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Improvements in lending practices driven by information technology have enabled lenders to reach out to households with previously unrecognized borrowing capacities.
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Now, I only play very occasionally, and in fact, more piano than clarinet or sax.
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Those of us who have looked to the self-interest of lending institutions to protect shareholders’ equity are in a state of shocked disbelief.
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This decade is strewn with examples of bright people who thought they built a better mousetrap that could consistently extract abnormal returns from the financial markets.
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There’s an interesting question here because if the gold price broke in that context, the thermometer would not be just a measuring tool. It would basically affect the underlying psychology.
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I came to a stark realization: chronic surpluses could be almost as destabilizing as chronic deficits.
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The United States can pay any debt it has because we can always print money to do that. So there is zero probability of default.
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We cannot rule out a situation in which a preemptive policy tightening becomes necessary.
ALAN GREENSPAN