Need to consider not only the most likely future path for the economy but also the distribution of possible outcomes about that path.
ALAN GREENSPANEveryone has one. You have to, to exist you need an ideology. The question is whether it is accurate or not.
More Alan Greenspan Quotes
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There is nothing to guarantee the superior judgment, knowledge, and integrity of an inspector or a bureaucrat-and the deadly consequences of entrusting him with arbitrary power are obvious.
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Productivity is notoriously difficult to predict.
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I’m a plain soap kind of guy.
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Capitalism is based on self-interest and self-esteem; it holds integrity and trustworthiness as cardinal virtues and makes them pay off in the marketplace, thus demanding that men survive by means of virtue, not vices.
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In general, corruption tends to exist whenever governments have favors to extend, or something to sell.
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There’s an interesting question here because if the gold price broke in that context, the thermometer would not be just a measuring tool. It would basically affect the underlying psychology.
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People dont realize that we cannot forecast the future. What we can do is have probabilities of what causes what, but thats as far as we go. And Ive had a very successful career as a forecaster, starting in 1948 forward.
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I am saddened that it is politically inconvenient to acknowledge what everyone knows: the Iraq war is largely about oil.
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It signals problems with respect to currency markets. Central banks should pay attention to it.
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Recent episodes in which Fed officials hinted at a shift toward higher interest rates have unleashed significant volatility in markets.
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Without calling the overall national issue a bubble, it’s pretty clear that it’s an unsustainable underlying pattern.
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Well, you probably will always believe there should be laws against fraud, and I don’t think there is any need for a law against fraud.
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The need for values is inbred. Their content is not.
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Derivatives have permitted the unbundling of financial risks.
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I don’t know where the stock market is going, but I will say this, that if it continues higher, this will do more to stimulate the economy than anything we’ve been talking about today or anything anybody else was talking about.
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But how do we know when irrational exuberance has unduly escalated asset values, which then become subject to unexpected and prolonged contractions as they have in Japan over the past decade?
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So there is no reason to suspect that the actual process of boosting rates would be any different.
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To succeed, you will soon learn, as I did, the importance of a solid foundation in the basics of education – literacy, both verbal and numerical, and communication skills.
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It is regrettably the way human nature functions, whether we like it or not. What successful economies do is keep it to a minimum.
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Unfortunately, Senator, nobody knows where the next innovative idea is coming from.
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I cannot conceive of a politically feasible solution to this problem which will overdo cutting the deficit, where overdoing means harming the economy. It might be technically possible, but it is not realistic.
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Those of us who have looked to the self-interest of lending institutions to protect shareholders’ equity are in a state of shocked disbelief.
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If you get beyond the political rhetoric [and assembled a group to solve Social Security] it would take them 15 minutes. It would take them 15 minutes only because 10 minutes was used for pleasantries.
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If one grasps this, one has no difficulty in understanding the statists’ antagonism toward the gold standard.
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Yet deregulation set the stage for an enormous wave of creative destruction in the 1980s.
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How do we know when irrational exuberance has unduly escalated asset values?
ALAN GREENSPAN