We have not known a single person who has consistently or lastingly make money by thus “following the market”. We do not hesitate to declare this approach is as fallacious as it is popular.
BENJAMIN GRAHAMRather should we say that the market is a voting machine, whereon countless individuals register choices which are the product partly of reason and partly of emotion.
More Benjamin Graham Quotes
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An investor calculates what a stock is worth, based on the value of its businesses.
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It is a fact worth pondering that four centuries ago the evil of “an abundance or surplus” arose from its being kept off the market, while today the evil of surplus lies in its being thrown upon the market.
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Thousands of people have tried, and the evidence is clear: The more you trade, the less you keep.
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In other words, the market is not a weighing machine, on which the value of each issue is recorded by an exact and impersonal mechanism, in accordance with its specific qualities.
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Buy when most people, including experts, are pessimistic, and sell when they are actively optimistic.
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The function of the margin of safety is, in essence, that of rendering unnecessary an accurate estimate of the future.
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At heart, “uncertainty” and “investing” are synonyms.
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You must never delude yourself into thinking that you’re investing when you’re speculating.
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The modern world is not geared properly to the storage of goods.
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The utility, or intrinsic value of gold as a commodity is now considerably less than in the past; its monetary status has become extraordinarily ambiguous; and its future is highly uncertain.
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The chief losses to investors come from the purchase of low-quality securities at times of favorable business conditions.
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Price fluctuations have only one significant meaning for the true investor. They provide him with an opportunity to buy wisely when prices fall sharply and to sell wisely when they advance a great deal.
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By developing your discipline and courage, you can refuse to let other people’s mood swings govern your financial destiny. In the end, how your investments behave is much less important than how you behave.
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No matter how careful you are, the one risk no investor can ever eliminate is the risk of being wrong. Only by insisting on what Graham called the “margin of safety” – never overpaying, no matter how exciting an investment seems to be – can you minimize your odds of error.
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In the short-run, the market is a voting machine – reflecting a voter-registration test that requires only money, not intelligence or emotional stability – but in the long- run, the market is a weighing machine.
BENJAMIN GRAHAM