Both humanity’s capacity to innovate and the incentives to innovate are greater today than at any other time in history.
BEN BERNANKEI assure this committee that, if I am confirmed, I will be strictly independent of all political influences… essential to that institution’s ability to function effectively and achieve its mandated objectives.
More Ben Bernanke Quotes
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The amount of currency in circulation is not changing. The money supply is not changing in any significant way.
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It’s true that the Federal Reserve faces a lot of political pressure and is unpopular in many circles.
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The crisis and recession have led to very low interest rates, it is true, but these events have also destroyed jobs, hamstrung economic growth and led to sharp declines in the values of many homes and businesses.
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The more important reason is that the research itself provides an important long-run perspective on the issues that we face on a day-to-day basis.
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I and others were mistaken early on in saying that the subprime crisis would be contained. The causal relationship between the housing problem and the broad financial system was very complex and difficult to predict.
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If you want to understand geology, study earthquakes. If you want to understand the economy, study the Depression.
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Developments in financial markets can have broad economic effects felt by many outside the markets.
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The risk exists that, with aggregate demand exhibiting considerable momentum, output could overshoot its sustainable path, leading ultimately in the absence of countervailing monetary policy action to further upward pressure on inflation.
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I served seven years as the chair of the Princeton economics department where I had responsibility for major policy decisions, such as whether to serve bagels or doughnuts at the department coffee hour.
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Although low inflation is generally good, inflation that is too low can pose risks to the economy – especially when the economy is struggling.
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The GSEs are adequately capitalized. They are in no danger of failing.
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The risk that the economy has entered a substantial downturn appears to have diminished over the past month or so.
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The best approach here, if at all possible, is to use supervisory and regulatory methods to restrain undue risk-taking and to make sure the system is resilient in case an asset-price bubble bursts in the future.
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We’ve never had a decline in house prices on a nationwide basis. So, what I think what is more likely is that house prices will slow, maybe stabilize, might slow consumption spending a bit. I don’t think it’s going to drive the economy too far from its full employment path, though.
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Nobody likes to fail but failure is an essential part of life and of learning. If your uniform isn’t dirty, you haven’t been in the game.
BEN BERNANKE