The sources of deflation are not a mystery. Deflation is in almost all cases a side effect of a collapse of aggregate demand.. a drop in spending so severe that producers must cut prices on an ongoing basis in order to find buyers.
BEN BERNANKEThe central bank needs to be able to make policy without short term political concerns.
More Ben Bernanke Quotes
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The crisis and recession have led to very low interest rates, it is true, but these events have also destroyed jobs, hamstrung economic growth and led to sharp declines in the values of many homes and businesses.
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The basic prescription for preventing deflation is therefore straightforward, at least in principle: Use monetary and fiscal policy as needed to support aggregate spending.
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So it’s important, as it affects overall levels of production and employment in the U.S. There are many domestic industries doing well in the United States, notwithstanding a strong dollar.
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In a manner as nearly consistent as possible with full utilization of economic resources and low and stable inflation. In other words, the best way to get out of trouble is not to get into it in the first place.
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The amount of currency in circulation is not changing. The money supply is not changing in any significant way.
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The impact on the broader economy and financial markets of the problems in the subprime markets seems likely to be contained.
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I generally leave the details of fiscal programs to the Administration and Congress. That’s really their area of authority and responsibility, and I don’t think it’s appropriate for me to second guess.
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In the future, my communications with the public and with the markets will be entirely through regular and formal channels.
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Over the years, the U.S. economy has shown a remarkable ability to absorb shocks of all kinds, to recover, and to continue to grow.
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If your uniform isn’t dirty, you haven’t been in the game.
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It’s true that the Federal Reserve faces a lot of political pressure and is unpopular in many circles.
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Both humanity’s capacity to innovate and the incentives to innovate are greater today than at any other time in history.
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The Federal Reserve will not monetize the debt.
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The American people are among the most productive in the world. We have the best technologies. We have – great universities. We have entrepreneurs.
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The Federal Reserve is not currently forecasting a recession.
BEN BERNANKE