But how do we know when irrational exuberance has unduly escalated asset values, which then become subject to unexpected and prolonged contractions as they have in Japan over the past decade?
ALAN GREENSPANExcessive optimism shows the seeds of its own reversal in the form of imbalances that tend to grow over time.
More Alan Greenspan Quotes
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Political decisions are never random and will always lose out to innovative alternatives.
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American and British authorities were also concerned about violence in an area that harbors a resource indispensable for the functioning of the word economy.
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Enhances a person’s ability to handle the more ambiguous and qualitative relationships that dominate our day-to-day financial decision-making
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Amateurs want to be right. Professionals want to make money.
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At the risk of some oversimplification, if the skill composition of our work force meshed fully with the needs of our increasingly complex capital-stock, wage-skill differentials would be stable.
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Need to consider not only the most likely future path for the economy but also the distribution of possible outcomes about that path.
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While local economies may experience significant price imbalances, a national severe price distortion seems most unlikely in the United States, given its size and diversity.
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An almost hysterical antagonism toward the gold standard is one issue which unites statists of all persuasions.
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Such caution seems especially warranted with regard to the sharp rise in equity prices during the past two years. These gains have obviously raised questions of sustainability.
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Market financed withdrawals of home equity in recent years.
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There is no evidence that the business cycle has been repealed.
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I was raising the question on the side with Governor Mullins of what would happen if the Treasury sold a little gold in this market.
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Clearly, sustained low inflation implies less uncertainty about the future, and lower risk premiums imply higher prices of stocks and other earning assets.
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Capitalism is based on self-interest and self-esteem; it holds integrity and trustworthiness as cardinal virtues and makes them pay off in the marketplace, thus demanding that men survive by means of virtue, not vices.
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I didn’t believe in absolutes, moral or otherwise. If I couldn’t prove a proposition with facts and figures, it was without merit.
ALAN GREENSPAN