The probability of ten consecutive heads is 0.1 percent; thus, when you have millions of coin tossers, or investors, in the end there will be thousands of very successful practitioners of coin tossing, or stock picking.
ALAN GREENSPANI am saddened that it is politically inconvenient to acknowledge what everyone knows: the Iraq war is largely about oil.
More Alan Greenspan Quotes
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We will have more crises and none of them will look like this because no two crises have anything in common except human nature.
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Any informed borrower is simply less vulnerable to fraud and abuse.
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People dont realize that we cannot forecast the future. What we can do is have probabilities of what causes what, but thats as far as we go. And Ive had a very successful career as a forecaster, starting in 1948 forward.
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They then need to reach a judgment about the probabilities, costs, and benefits of the various possible outcomes under alternative choices for policy.
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It is this superlatively moral system that the welfare statists propose to improve upon by means of preventative law, snooping bureaucrats, and the chronic goad of fear.
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But rules cannot substitute for character.
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The recent period has been marked by a transformation to an economy that is more productive as competitive forces become increasingly intense and new technologies raise the efficiency of our businesses…
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Excessive optimism shows the seeds of its own reversal in the form of imbalances that tend to grow over time.
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Gold still represents the ultimate form of payment in the world.
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Anyone willing to do what is required to become president of the United States is thereby barred from taking that office. I’m only half joking
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If we are dealing with psychology, then the thermometers one uses to measure it have an effect.
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Regulation of derivatives transactions that are privately negotiated by professionals is unnecessary.
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If we were to do that we would increase the supply of skilled workers that our schools have been unable to create and as a consequence of that we would lower the average wage of skills and reduce the degree of income inequality in this country.
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These days, even out of office, I still read economic reports.
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As long as we issue fiat currency, I see no alternative to a legal tender law.
ALAN GREENSPAN