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I have one other issue I’d like to throw on the table. I hesitate to do it, but let me tell you some of the issues that are involved here.

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Marilyn Monroe Paulo Coelho Abraham Lincoln C. S. Lewis Khalil Gibran Charlie Chaplin Gautama Buddha Isaac Newton

A decline in the national housing price level would need to be substantial to trigger a significant rise in foreclosures, because the vast majority of homeowners have built up substantial equity in their homes despite large mortgage.
ALAN GREENSPAN

Bank Decline Foreclosure Housing Level National Need Significant Substantial Trigger
No matter how skillful the trading scheme, over the long haul, abnormal returns are sustained only through abnormal exposure to risk.
ALAN GREENSPAN

Abnormal Exposure Haul Long Matter No Return Scheme Skillful Sustain Trade
In the process we have created [a] privileged elite whose incomes are being supported at non-competitively high levels by immigration quotas on skilled professionals.
ALAN GREENSPAN

Competitively Immigration Income Level Process Profession Quota Support
No one has ever eliminated any of that stuff.
ALAN GREENSPAN

Eliminate No One Stuff
By far the most significant event in finance during the past decade has been the extraordinary development and expansion of financial derivatives.
ALAN GREENSPAN

Decade Development During Event Expansion Extraordinary Far Finance Most Significant
History cannot be reduced to a set of statistics and probabilities.
ALAN GREENSPAN

History Probability Reduce Set Statics
Crony capitalism is essentially a condition in which… public officials are giving favours to people in the private sector in payment of political favours.
ALAN GREENSPAN

Capitalism Condition Crony Essentially Favour Private Public
Excessive optimism sows the seeds of its own reversal.
ALAN GREENSPAN

Excessive Optimism Retrospect Something
We need, in effect, to make the phantom ‘lock-boxes’ around the trust fund real.
ALAN GREENSPAN

Box Effect Fund Lock Make Need Phantom Real Trust
And whatever their publicized angst over Saddam Hussein’s ‘weapons of mass destruction.
ALAN GREENSPAN

Destruction Mass Over Publicize Weapon Whatever
Without calling the overall national issue a bubble, it’s pretty clear that it’s an unsustainable underlying pattern.
ALAN GREENSPAN

Buddle Call Clear Issue National Overall Pattern Pretty Unsustainable Without
This decade is strewn with examples of bright people who thought they built a better mousetrap that could consistently extract abnormal returns from the financial markets.
ALAN GREENSPAN

Better Built Decade Example Financial Market Mousetrap People
It’s hard to overemphasize how important Ford’s deregulation was. True, most of the benefits took years to unfold-rail freight rates, for example hardly budged at first.
ALAN GREENSPAN

Benefit Deregulation Hard Important Look Overemphasize True Year
People dont realize that we cannot forecast the future. What we can do is have probabilities of what causes what, but thats as far as we go. And Ive had a very successful career as a forecaster, starting in 1948 forward.
ALAN GREENSPAN

Cannot Cause Far Forecast Future Go People Realize Probability
Fiat money in extremis is accepted by nobody. Gold is always accepted.
ALAN GREENSPAN

Accept Extremis Fiat God Money Nobody
Enhances a person’s ability to handle the more ambiguous and qualitative relationships that dominate our day-to-day financial decision-making
ALAN GREENSPAN

Ability Ambiguous Decision Dominate Enhance Financial Making Person Quantitative Relationship

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