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The probability of ten consecutive heads is 0.1 percent; thus, when you have millions of coin tossers, or investors, in the end there will be thousands of very successful practitioners of coin tossing, or stock picking.

Alan Greenspan

Any onset of increased investor caution elevates risk premiums and, as a consequence, lowers asset values and promotes the liquidation of the debt that supported higher asset prices.
ALAN GREENSPAN

Asset Caution Consequence Debt Elevate Increase Investor Lowe Onset Premium Price Risk Value
If we are to remain preeminent in transforming knowledge into economic value, America’s system of higher education must remain the world’s leader in generating scientific and technological breakthrough, and in meeting the challenge to educate workers.
ALAN GREENSPAN

Economic Knowledge Preeminent Remain Transform Value
Without the triggers, that tax cut is irreponsible fiscal policy. Eventually, I think that will be the consensus view.
ALAN GREENSPAN

Consensus Cut Fiscal Irresponsible Policy Tax Trigger View
It’s hard to overemphasize how important Ford’s deregulation was. True, most of the benefits took years to unfold-rail freight rates, for example hardly budged at first.
ALAN GREENSPAN

Benefit Deregulation Hard Important Look Overemphasize True Year
I’ve been in and out of Wall Street since 1949, and I’ve never seen the type of animosity between government and Wall Street. And I’m not sure where it comes from, but I suspect it’s got to do with a general schism in this society which is really becoming ever more destructive.
ALAN GREENSPAN

Animosity Between Descriptive E Even Government More Out Since Street Suspect Type Wall
Given our inevitably incomplete knowledge about key structural aspects of our ever-changing economy and the sometimes asymmetric costs or benefits of particular outcomes, a central bank.
ALAN GREENSPAN

Aspect Bank Change Economy Ever Give Incomplete Inevitably Knowledge Outcome Particular Sometimes Structural
And the percentage changes in wage rates would be the same for all job grades.
ALAN GREENSPAN

All Change Job Percentage Rate Right Same Wage
Clearly, sustained low inflation implies less uncertainty about the future, and lower risk premiums imply higher prices of stocks and other earning assets.
ALAN GREENSPAN

Asset Clearly Earning Higher Imply Inflation Less Lower Premium Risk Stock Sustain
If we are dealing with psychology, then the thermometers one uses to measure it have an effect.
ALAN GREENSPAN

Deal Effect Measure Psychology Thermometer Use
To succeed, you will soon learn, as I did, the importance of a solid foundation in the basics of education – literacy, both verbal and numerical, and communication skills.
ALAN GREENSPAN

Basic Communication Education Foundation Importance Learn Solid Soon Succeed
No one has ever eliminated any of that stuff.
ALAN GREENSPAN

Eliminate No One Stuff
Such caution seems especially warranted with regard to the sharp rise in equity prices during the past two years. These gains have obviously raised questions of sustainability.
ALAN GREENSPAN

Caution During Especially Past Price Regard Rise Sharp Two Warranted Year
This is the reason that history has not dealt kindly with the aftermath of protracted periods of low risk premiums.
ALAN GREENSPAN

Aftermath History Period Premium Protract Reason Risk
I think that real pressure is going to occur not by the initiation by the Federal Reserve, but by the markets themselves.
ALAN GREENSPAN

Federal Reserve Initiation Market Pressure Themselves Think
Excessive optimism sows the seeds of its own reversal.
ALAN GREENSPAN

Excessive Optimism Retrospect Something
But how do we know when irrational exuberance has unduly escalated asset values, which then become subject to unexpected and prolonged contractions as they have in Japan over the past decade?
ALAN GREENSPAN

Asset Escalate Exuberance Irrational Unduly Value

The probability of ten consecutive heads is 0.1 percent; thus, when you have millions of coin tossers, or investors, in the end there will be thousands of very successful practitioners of coin tossing, or stock picking.

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The probability of ten consecutive heads is 0.1 percent; thus, when you have millions of coin tossers, or investors, in the end there will be thousands of very successful practitioners of coin tossing, or stock picking.

Related Topics

Popular Authors

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