The probability of ten consecutive heads is 0.1 percent; thus, when you have millions of coin tossers, or investors, in the end there will be thousands of very successful practitioners of coin tossing, or stock picking.
ALAN GREENSPANIf I’ve made myself clear, I’ve misspoken.
More Alan Greenspan Quotes
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Everyone has one. You have to, to exist you need an ideology. The question is whether it is accurate or not.
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It keeps interest rates lower than they otherwise would be and frees savings to finance increases in the capital stock, thereby boosting productivity and real incomes.
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Enhances a person’s ability to handle the more ambiguous and qualitative relationships that dominate our day-to-day financial decision-making
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We cannot rule out a situation in which a preemptive policy tightening becomes necessary.
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If we are dealing with psychology, then the thermometers one uses to measure it have an effect.
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I have long argued that paying down the national debt is beneficial for the economy.
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I believe that the general growth in large [financial] institutions have occurred in the context of an underlying structure of markets in which many of the larger risks are dramatically — I should say, fully — hedged.
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The process of innovation is, of course, never ending.
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By far the most significant event in finance during the past decade has been the extraordinary development and expansion of financial derivatives.
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The gut-feel of the 55-year old trader is more important than the mathematical elegance of the 25-year old genius.
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Rules cannot take the place of character.
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But how do we know when irrational exuberance has unduly escalated asset values, which then become subject to unexpected and prolonged contractions as they have in Japan over the past decade?
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In the absence of the gold standard, there is no way to protect savings from confiscation through inflation. There is no safe store of value.
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When trust is lost, a nation’s ability to transact business is palpably undermined.
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Recent episodes in which Fed officials hinted at a shift toward higher interest rates have unleashed significant volatility in markets.
ALAN GREENSPAN