While local economies may experience significant price imbalances, a national severe price distortion seems most unlikely in the United States, given its size and diversity.
ALAN GREENSPANI love facts and figures. It’s like following a detective story, piecing together what’s going on in the economy.
More Alan Greenspan Quotes
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Such caution seems especially warranted with regard to the sharp rise in equity prices during the past two years. These gains have obviously raised questions of sustainability.
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The recent evidence increasingly suggests that an economic expansion is already well under way, although an array of influences unique to this business cycle seems likely to moderate its speed.
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I guess I should warn you, if I turn out to be particularly clear, you’ve probably misunderstood what I’ve said.
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I think that real pressure is going to occur not by the initiation by the Federal Reserve, but by the markets themselves.
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History demonstrates that participants in financial markets are susceptible to waves of optimism.
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Senator, we are groping for understanding, the knowledge you assume I possess doesn’t exist’.
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The very nature of finance is that it cannot be profitable unless it is significantly leveraged… and as long as there is debt, there can be failure and contagion.
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So there is no reason to suspect that the actual process of boosting rates would be any different.
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Any onset of increased investor caution elevates risk premiums and, as a consequence, lowers asset values and promotes the liquidation of the debt that supported higher asset prices.
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It seems superfluous to constrain trading in some of the newer derivatives and other innovative financial contracts of the past decade.
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We cannot rule out a situation in which a preemptive policy tightening becomes necessary.
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We as central bankers need not be concerned if a collapsing financial asset bubble does not threaten to impair the real economy, its production, jobs and price stability.
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The arts develop skills and habits of mind that are important for workers in the new economy of ideas.
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People dont realize that we cannot forecast the future. What we can do is have probabilities of what causes what, but thats as far as we go. And Ive had a very successful career as a forecaster, starting in 1948 forward.
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Institutions of the newer participants in global finance had not been tested, until recently…recent crisis have underscored certain financial structure vulnerabilities that are not readily assuaged in the short run.
ALAN GREENSPAN