At the risk of some oversimplification, if the skill composition of our work force meshed fully with the needs of our increasingly complex capital-stock, wage-skill differentials would be stable.
ALAN GREENSPANIf we are dealing with psychology, then the thermometers one uses to measure it have an effect.
More Alan Greenspan Quotes
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Productivity is notoriously difficult to predict.
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It’s a bubble. It has to have intrinsic value. You have to really stretch your imagination to infer what the intrinsic value of Bitcoin is. I haven’t been able to do it. Maybe somebody else can.
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Regulators have not been able to achieve the level of future clarity required to act pre-emptively.
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We are in the midst of a once-in-a-century credit tsunami. Central banks and governments are being required to take unprecedented measures.
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It’s hard to overemphasize how important Ford’s deregulation was. True, most of the benefits took years to unfold-rail freight rates, for example hardly budged at first.
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I am saddened that it is politically inconvenient to acknowledge what everyone knows: the Iraq war is largely about oil.
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Institutions of the newer participants in global finance had not been tested, until recently…recent crisis have underscored certain financial structure vulnerabilities that are not readily assuaged in the short run.
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Fear and euphoria are dominant forces, and fear is many multiples the size of euphoria. Bubbles go up very slowly as euphoria builds.
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Corruption, embezzlement, fraud, these are all characteristics which exist everywhere.
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Any onset of increased investor caution elevates risk premiums and, as a consequence, lowers asset values and promotes the liquidation of the debt that supported higher asset prices.
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People dont realize that we cannot forecast the future. What we can do is have probabilities of what causes what, but thats as far as we go. And Ive had a very successful career as a forecaster, starting in 1948 forward.
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Yet deregulation set the stage for an enormous wave of creative destruction in the 1980s.
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Excessive optimism sows the seeds of its own reversal.
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This is the reason that history has not dealt kindly with the aftermath of protracted periods of low risk premiums.
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If I say something which you understand fully in this regard, I probably made a mistake.
ALAN GREENSPAN