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This is the reason that history has not dealt kindly with the aftermath of protracted periods of low risk premiums.

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Marilyn Monroe Paulo Coelho Abraham Lincoln C. S. Lewis Khalil Gibran Charlie Chaplin Gautama Buddha Isaac Newton

The true measure of a career is to be able to be content, even proud, that you succeeded through your own endeavors without leaving a trail of casualties in your wake.
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Well, you probably will always believe there should be laws against fraud, and I don’t think there is any need for a law against fraud.
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Excessive optimism sows the seeds of its own reversal.
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So there is no reason to suspect that the actual process of boosting rates would be any different.
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We may be in a rapidly evolving international financial system with all the bells and whistles of the so-called new economy. But the old-economy rules of prudence are as formidable as ever. We violate them at our own peril.
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Unfortunately, Senator, nobody knows where the next innovative idea is coming from.
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People dont realize that we cannot forecast the future. What we can do is have probabilities of what causes what, but thats as far as we go. And Ive had a very successful career as a forecaster, starting in 1948 forward.
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