“And any investment plan that is dependent on accurately forecasting where markets will be next year is doomed to failure.”

This ugly duckling investment will likely need time – quarters, or even years – to blossom into a beautiful swan.

For those of you who may be unaware, [Michael] Boskin is the economist/weasel/fraud who helped to officially distort the CPI, making it more or less worthless as a measure of inflation.

Returnless risk is not how you prepare for a decent retirement.

Unlike cheap stocks, inexpensive asset classes have a lower chance of big drawdowns (broad asset classes don’t go to zero) and a higher probability of average or better returns.

I find it funny that people who didn’t think there was any inflation in the pipeline are now talking about stagflation.

Rather than engage in the sort of selective retention that so many investors tend to do and pretend mistakes never happened, I prefer to own them. This allows me to learn from them and, with any luck, avoid making the same errors again.

The market is going to love it. The market always seems to applaud major mergers, even though the vast majority of them don’t work out and don’t increase shareholder value.

One thing I detest most about the financial press is the lack of accountability. All sorts of nonsense is said without penalty.

If I am going to trash others for their dumb predictions, I must at least hold myself to the same sort of accountability.

History is replete with examples of tech firms that were marginalized by new companies and technologies.

Salesmen always need something to sell.

Excessive regulation in the banking reform bill will destroy a substantial part of our bond-distributing machinery.

The good news is that economists are intelligent, engaging and often charming folks. The bad news is their work is often of little use to investors.

Never forget this simple truism: Forecasting is marketing, plain and simple.

You can blow on the dice all you want, but whether they come up seven is still a function of random luck.

This is nothing like the 1970’s, which was a pretty dismal period and not just because of polyester and disco.

The greatest strategy is doomed if it’s implemented badly.

Hank had left me his doomed army, and hed left marcie his inheritance. Unfair didnt begin to cover it.

In my view, the Western model of influencing the development of third world countries is doomed to failure.

Even if we act immediately, the world is doomed to lose many of its animal and plant species and this inturn will reduce the ability of ecosystems to deliver vital services to human populations.