The probability of ten consecutive heads is 0.1 percent; thus, when you have millions of coin tossers, or investors, in the end there will be thousands of very successful practitioners of coin tossing, or stock picking.
ALAN GREENSPANIt is this superlatively moral system that the welfare statists propose to improve upon by means of preventative law, snooping bureaucrats, and the chronic goad of fear.
More Alan Greenspan Quotes
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At the risk of some oversimplification, if the skill composition of our work force meshed fully with the needs of our increasingly complex capital-stock, wage-skill differentials would be stable.
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Regulation – which is based on force and fear – undermines the moral base of business dealings. It becomes cheaper to bribe a building inspector than to meet his standards of construction. Protection of the consumer by regulation is thus illusory.
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Since I’ve become a central banker, I’ve learned to mumble with great incoherence.
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It has been my experience that competency in mathematics, both in numerical manipulations and in understanding its conceptual foundations.
ALAN GREENSPAN -
Greenspan, who knew so much more than most, knew far less than most supposed.
ALAN GREENSPAN -
Credit-default swaps, I think, have serious problems associated with them.
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The worst have failed; investors no longer fund them and are not likely to in the future.
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Derivatives have permitted the unbundling of financial risks.
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How do we know when irrational exuberance has unduly escalated asset values?
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Well, you probably will always believe there should be laws against fraud, and I don’t think there is any need for a law against fraud.
ALAN GREENSPAN -
Political decisions are never random and will always lose out to innovative alternatives.
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There’s an interesting question here because if the gold price broke in that context, the thermometer would not be just a measuring tool. It would basically affect the underlying psychology.
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We may be in a rapidly evolving international financial system with all the bells and whistles of the so-called new economy. But the old-economy rules of prudence are as formidable as ever. We violate them at our own peril.
ALAN GREENSPAN -
I was raising the question on the side with Governor Mullins of what would happen if the Treasury sold a little gold in this market.
ALAN GREENSPAN -
By far the most significant event in finance during the past decade has been the extraordinary development and expansion of financial derivatives.
ALAN GREENSPAN