The probability of ten consecutive heads is 0.1 percent; thus, when you have millions of coin tossers, or investors, in the end there will be thousands of very successful practitioners of coin tossing, or stock picking.
ALAN GREENSPANIt has been my experience that competency in mathematics, both in numerical manipulations and in understanding its conceptual foundations.
More Alan Greenspan Quotes
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The tub helps me relax, and it’s a great place to read.
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The number of mistakes I have made are just awesome. There is no number large enough to account for that.
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Some succeed for a time. But while there may occasionally be mis-configurations among market prices that allow abnormal returns, they do not persist.
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But material success is possible in this world and far more satisfying when it comes without exploiting others.
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They then need to reach a judgment about the probabilities, costs, and benefits of the various possible outcomes under alternative choices for policy.
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I was raising the question on the side with Governor Mullins of what would happen if the Treasury sold a little gold in this market.
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Skilled shortages in America exist because we are shielding our skilled labor force from world competition. [Visa quotas] have been substituted for the wage pricing mechanism.
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I was a good amateur but only an average professional. I soon realized that there was a limit to how far I could rise in the music business, so I left the band and enrolled at New York University.
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There is no safe store of value. Deficit spending is simply a scheme for the hidden confiscation of wealth.
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People dont realize that we cannot forecast the future. What we can do is have probabilities of what causes what, but thats as far as we go. And Ive had a very successful career as a forecaster, starting in 1948 forward.
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We need, in effect, to make the phantom ‘lock-boxes’ around the trust fund real.
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Unfortunately, Senator, nobody knows where the next innovative idea is coming from.
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Stripped of its academic jargon, the welfare state is nothing more than a mechanism by which governments confiscate the wealth of the productive members of a society to support a wide variety of welfare schemes.
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No one has ever eliminated any of that stuff.
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Such caution seems especially warranted with regard to the sharp rise in equity prices during the past two years. These gains have obviously raised questions of sustainability.
ALAN GREENSPAN