The probability of ten consecutive heads is 0.1 percent; thus, when you have millions of coin tossers, or investors, in the end there will be thousands of very successful practitioners of coin tossing, or stock picking.
ALAN GREENSPANThe abandonment of the gold standard made it possible for the welfare statists to use the banking system as a means to an unlimited expansion of credit.
More Alan Greenspan Quotes
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As long as we issue fiat currency, I see no alternative to a legal tender law.
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Rules cannot take the place of character.
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Excessive optimism shows the seeds of its own reversal in the form of imbalances that tend to grow over time.
ALAN GREENSPAN -
Although the outlook is clouded by a number of uncertainties, the central tendencies of the projections .. imply continued good economic performance in the United States.
ALAN GREENSPAN -
It keeps interest rates lower than they otherwise would be and frees savings to finance increases in the capital stock, thereby boosting productivity and real incomes.
ALAN GREENSPAN -
Whatever you tax you get less of.
ALAN GREENSPAN -
What we have found over the years in the marketplace is that derivatives have been an extraordinarily useful vehicle to transfer risk from those who shouldn’t be taking it to those who are willing to and are capable of doing so.
ALAN GREENSPAN -
People dont realize that we cannot forecast the future. What we can do is have probabilities of what causes what, but thats as far as we go. And Ive had a very successful career as a forecaster, starting in 1948 forward.
ALAN GREENSPAN -
It seems superfluous to constrain trading in some of the newer derivatives and other innovative financial contracts of the past decade.
ALAN GREENSPAN -
We can see that in the inverse relationship exhibited by price/earnings ratios and the rate of inflation in the past.
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I do not deny that many appear to have succeeded in a material way by cutting corners and by manipulating associates, both in their professional and in their personal lives.
ALAN GREENSPAN -
I cannot conceive of a politically feasible solution to this problem which will overdo cutting the deficit, where overdoing means harming the economy. It might be technically possible, but it is not realistic.
ALAN GREENSPAN -
Political decisions are never random and will always lose out to innovative alternatives.
ALAN GREENSPAN -
Then fear hits, and it comes down very sharply. When I started to look at that.
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Enhances a person’s ability to handle the more ambiguous and qualitative relationships that dominate our day-to-day financial decision-making
ALAN GREENSPAN